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When Will New Car Prices Start Dropping?

Featured image by Zakaria Zayane on Unsplash

Right now, there’s no telling when new car prices will start dropping. The COVID-19 pandemic has made the auto industry somewhat unpredictable. In fact, some makes and models are selling for record-high prices.

While these prices are expected to drop, the best time to start looking for a new car is now. So whether you need a new car for your business or for personal use, the sooner you start looking, the sooner you can get an idea of what’s right for you. Moreover, you don’t have to restrict yourself to getting a new car. There are plenty of used cars that could meet your needs just the same.

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The New Car Market Is in a Strange Place Right Now

A few years ago, it was relatively easy to predict when new car prices would fall. Typically, they would decrease around October, November, and December, when newer makes and models were on the horizon. Now, the Miami Herald says things could change.

Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, certain microchips and internal hardware have been in high demand, making prices, well, higher. Additionally, many of the hardware manufacturers that made car parts turned their attention toward home entertainment systems and video game consoles, which saw record sales during the pandemic.

Thankfully, these high prices are not expected to stay around for long. The Miami Herald notes that as time progresses, inflation will go down, and cars will once again be sold at “normal” prices.

What Previous Trends Have Taught Us

Again, there is no timeframe for when new car prices will start dropping. However, dealerships do follow certain trends, like:

New Car Prices Drop Around the Holidays

You would think that cars go on sale around Christmas and New Year’s. However, according to CNET, that’s not necessarily the case. Actually, their findings discovered that people saved the most money around Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, which typically falls around the third Monday of each January.

During MLK Day, people found “39 percent more deals than average.” CNET actually found that contrary to popular belief, Black Friday was not a good time to purchase a new car.

Prices Decrease Around Certain Months of the Year

The summer months are the worst time to buy a car. In June, July, August, and even parts of September, car prices remain relatively stagnant. This is because, without new makes and models on the horizon, dealerships have little motivation to move their inventories.

Also, during these months, there are no holidays to center sales around—despite the Fourth of July being one of the biggest events of the summer season.

Now, if you try buying a car during December, January, and February, you might find a good deal. This is because:

  • Dealerships want to get rid of soon-to-be-outdated cars.
  • Salespeople are trying to meet end-of-year quotas.
  • Dealerships have holiday incentives to motivate their salespeople into selling cars.

Mondays Offer Golden Opportunities

According to U.S. News & World Report, Monday is the best day of the week to buy a car. This is for a couple of reasons:

  • Dealerships aren’t usually busy on Mondays. Salespeople may have more time on their hands to make deals instead of tending to multiple people at a time.
  • Some weekends are low-performing. On Saturdays and Sundays, dealerships are filled with potential customers. However, if a salesman “strikes out” and doesn’t make their quota, they could be more motivated on Monday to make up for the lack of sales. Alternatively, they could have sold many cars over the weekend and want to keep their numbers high.

The organization cited statistics from True Car, noting that people saved about eight percent on their Monday car purchases.

May Day is the Best Day

No, we don’t mean the actual holiday. We mean that in general, May is a great time to buy a car. This is because:

  • Spring has arrived. Once temperatures rise, people are ready to leave their homes and make new purchases. This is traditionally a great time for buying SUVs since people want to prepare for the next snow-heavy, winter season.
  • Memorial Day. Who would have guessed that a holiday that honors war veterans would also be a great time to buy a car? While you might have to brave the crowds, there are countless sales around this time.

Even after May comes to a close, still, shop around. If dealerships didn’t sell as many cars as they were expecting, you could get a good deal.

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Debunking the Myths About Buying a Car

Some car buyers are traditionalists; certain rules applied when they bought a car twenty years ago, and they’re sticking to them. However, when it comes to buying a car, strategies are always changing. Here are some misconceptions to avoid while making your next purchase:

You Have to Pay for Most of Your Car Upfront

Many people pinch pennies for years, hoping to buy a new car all at once. In fact, this could work to your disadvantage. Namely, if you have a steady job and solid income, this could be an opportunity to build your credit. Also, depending on the creditor, you could pay virtually nothing to drive a new car off the lot.

You Should Go to the Dealership Before Closing

It’s hard to believe, but car salespeople are human beings, too. When closing time rolls around, they want to go home. They may be less inclined to negotiate when they’ve been on their feet all day.

You Should Go to the Dealership When It’s Busy

The logic behind this strategy is that the salesperson will be too overwhelmed to pull any tricks. This really isn’t the case. Instead, what you’ll find is that their attention is divided among too many things—making it difficult to strike a bargain.

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The Takeaway

You could wait around all year until new car prices go down. But when you want a new car, you want it now—not later. Instead of waiting for certain periods, keep your ear to the ground for special deals. Look online or peruse your local dealerships. You could be cruising around town in your new ride before you know it.